The above chart shows total acres burned nationally and northwest regionally (Oregon and Washington) for the last 27 years as tabulated by the federal government's National Interagency Coordination Center.
Oregon seems to be having a bad wildfire season this year (summer), but nationally not exceptionally so bad.
Oregon's wildfires this year seem to be more range land oriented rather than forest fires.
The graph above, to me, highlights that wildfires are driven by more than just temperature. If in one year a lot of acreage goes up in smoke, that is less fuel for fire in the following year.
Then, also, preventive maintenance can mitigate against some wildfires. Such preventive management includes not postponing or neglecting electric transmission line maintenance.
(posted by Elvis Clark on August 8, 2024)
KOIN news reports that Washington state voters will get to vote on laws intended to reduce and eventually eliminate natural gas use in the state of Washington, including natural gas home heating. Here's the link to KOIN's report:
Washington ballot initiative challenges state's transition to clean energy (koin.com)
Even if Washington voters pass stopping the banning of natural gas, there is always the tyrannical Washington state supreme court which is most always friendly towards what government wants and not friendly towards citizens who are wanting to free themselves from the costly regulation of their state government. So, we shall see. The vote is this coming November general election.
You also wonder whether the Federal courts might also overturn Washington government's natural gas ban, just as it did against Berkley California's natural gas ban.
(posted by Elvis Clark on July 28, 2024)
This last Winter into early Spring did not feel much different for me in Milwaukie (Or) than the weather I experienced when I was delivering newspapers in nearby Tigard, Oregon, as a young teen on bicycle back in the winter-springs of the 1960s into the 1970s. This last Winter was damp and not unusually warm, which is what I remember about my experience delivering papers in the 1960s/70s in the Willamette Valley (Tigard, Oregon).
The Northwest experienced one of the lowest water years on record in the 2000-2001 Water Year (Water Year being October through September). The Columbia River Dam Power houses could not turn out much electricity supply during the 2000-2001 Water Year, causing the wholesale price of electricity to spike to 30 cents per Kilowatt Hour (KWH), from just 3 cents in the year prior (1999-00).
(posted by Elvis Clark on May 9, 2024)
Snowpack in the upper Columbia River basin is at pretty low levels. This means Columbia River Hydro-electric power supplies will be low this coming Summer and Fall.
In the above map from the Northwest River Forecasting Center, Oregon has above average snowpack measurements (the green and blue dots), as of earlier this week (May 8, 2024); but Western Canada and the state of Washington have below average snowpack measurements (yellow, orange and red dots). The Columbia River dams depend a lot on the melting of mountain snow tops in Western Canada and the state of Washington.
Oregon is fortunate this past Winter, and into Spring, that the El Nino Weather pattern had the jet stream just far enough north to catch Oregon with some of its rain systems, California getting the brunt of the rain systems. Usually, not only Washington and Western Canada receive well below normal rainfall during an El Nino weather year - the current year being an El Nino weather event - but Oregon usually also gets below normal rainfall during an El Nino weather year. Not this time around, as Oregon is fortunate to catch enough of the rain systems that usually would have stayed south into Northern California.
The Columbia River power dams are expected to turnout only 80 percent of their normal power supplies this Summer into Fall.
At the same time, Northwest demand for electricity is accelerating higher because of the building of new power-hungry Data centers, and All-Electric vehicle charging.
We are expected to get through this coming summer and winter without having electric energy blackouts. But over the next five years, avoiding blackouts in the Northwest looks highly uncertain because reliable existing conventional power plants (fossil fuels power plants) are being replaced by weather dependent renewable power plants (Wind, solar and mega batteries), and even the Northwest Power and Conservation Council is worried about these new supplies coming on-line fast enough to keep the lights on.
(For more information about the mounting risks of electricity shortages in the Northwest, including here in Oregon, see my posting on this website - in the section called 'Energy' under menu tab 'More.')
Here's the Wall Street Journal quote about the cost of wind power versus natural gas generated power in New York State:
"New York regulators recently struck agreements with offshore developers at prices of around $150 per megawatt hour [15 cents per KWH], more than a third higher than those in 2019. For comparison, the wholesale price for natural gas power is around $30 a megawatt hour [3 cents per KWH)." [“Gone With the Wind,” WSJ, April 22, 2024]
In my opinion, such net zero emission energy efforts seem way too costly to justify when weighed against the ability of residents in states like Oregon to absorb such costs, in the form of sharply higher electric utility bills and in higher tax bills.
Yes, we need to be nice to the environment, but we also need to be nice to Oregonians so that they can afford to live in Oregon.
(posted by Elvis Clark on April 27, 2024)
Aas part of a larger Portland Metro area schematic of heat sinks on a hot July day, the above schematic developed for Clackamas-County-at-large was recently prepared and published by Multnomah, Washington, and Clackamas County scientists in conjunction with the three County Health officials.
County health officials tout planting more shade trees in the very hot spots (the redder tones shown above) around the Portland Metro area; and if there is excess road pavement, removing such pavement in the very hot spots.
I think too that instead of Oregon trying to change out its electric grid, which took some hundred years to build, in the matter of just 15 to 20 years from now, via Oregon's Net Zero laws; Adaptation is a lot less costly approach to surviving summer heat. Adaption would include shade trees, helping low-income people with getting air conditioning equipment, and a pervasive network of cooling centers.
I plan to study the cost of Adaptation as against the cost of Net Zero Emission mandates.
Here's OPB's reporting on the recent Heat Map work of the three Portland area counties:
New Portland heat map shows where to plant trees and remove pavement for a cooler city - OPB
I think I will also see if I can get the heat map for just the City of Milwaukie by street from Clackamas' Health official, cited in the OPB report.
(posted by Elvis Clark on April 5, 2024)
It snowed a little over an inch and half last Saturday (Jan 13, 2024) in Portland. So, all four years of this decade have now experienced snowfall.
And this is not all, the average snowfall event in Portland in this decade of the 2020s is averaging over 4 inches. You have to go back to the 1950s to find the average snowfall event averaging 4 inches or more. The 1980s and 1990s were years of minimal snowfall - viewed against the entire Portland snowfall history dating back to the first decade of the 1900s.
There are some who say we should be accepting of a warming climate because more people die from the cold than the heat. Maybe this is true. But so far, actual experience says maybe there could be as many cold related deaths while getting more heat related deaths, because of a warming climate.
The Climate is a complex beast, and the climate models used to drive government policy are way too simplistic to capture all the uncertainties surrounding climate, including local climate.
(data in the above graph is sourced from National Weather Service data for the Portland Airport and other historical papers regarding snowfall in Portland Oregon.)
North Clackamas School District has been closed all week, and maybe again on Friday (Jan 19, '24) because of snow and ice.
Photo above here of Jay Panagos, who seems to really enjoy bicycling for recreation.
(posted by Elvis Clark on January 18, 2024)
In the pdf article for your download and read below ("CUBvsGas24Jan"), I critique the Oregon Citizen Utility Board (CUB) - explaining how CUB has gone off the rails in representing Utility Customers against rate hikes.
(posted by Elvis Clark on January 12, 2024)
CUBvsGas24Jan (pdf)
DownloadBefore leaving office in January 2023, former Governor Brown issued in Executive order dictating that cities must encourage that new houses do not come with driveways. This is meant to cram more people together and have neighborhoods filled with cars parked on the street.
14 Cities are trying to defeat much of Brown's "Climate Friendly and Equitable Communities" executive order. These cities are awaiting the Court's decision on the lawsuit they filed against the state's land use commission and its adoption of Brown's "Climate Friendly..." executive order.
Here's the Willamette Week's reporting on the lawsuit against the state land use commission and its implementation of the "Climate Friendly..." executive order:
Part of the argument, of these fourteen cities, against Brown's Climate Executive order is that it oversteps the authority of the Governor to restrict property owners on how they can develop their property.
Here's an Oregon Catalyst report on Oregon's related war against cars that seems to being pushed by those leading the state's bureaucracies.
Oregon’s war on cars | The Oregon Catalyst
(posted by Elvis Clark on January 4, 2024)
So, the carbon dioxide emission reductions that the state of Oregon is wanting to impose on the state's natural gas utilities are not enforceable now as a result of this Oregon Court of Appeals decision against the DEQ's carbon reduction mandates. Both Northwest Natural and Cascade Natural Gas Corporation had sued the Environmental Quality Commission which oversees Oregon's Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ), wanting to stop the drastic CO 2 emission cuts that are to be imposed on the natural gas utilities.
It sounds like this ruling is just of a technical nature, which DEQ can overcome by simply serving proper notice and defense of why the DEQ is seeking to reduce natural gas emissions from the use of natural gas in Oregon by such and such amount. Then again, there is some discussion by representatives of the DEQ to appeal this Court Decision to the Oregon Supreme Court. But if it is just a mere technicality that can be easily corrected by DEQ, why then would these DEQ representatives feel the need to appeal the matter to the Oregon Supreme Court?
Here's the Oregon Chronicle's reporting on this climate court decision:
((Posted by Elvis Clark on December 21, 2022)
Milwaukie's Oregon State Representative, Gamba, joins anti-fossil fuel groups to gin up the argument that natural gas stoves are a public health risk. I suspect that this is really a veiled way to begin eliminating natural gas utility service in the state of Oregon. Gamba, and the anti-fossil fuel groups he identifies with, are asking the Oregon Attorney General to investigate Northwest Natural [gas utility] company for providing arguments that minimize the public health threat of natural gas stoves.
It is my observation that most natural gas stoves are installed at the order of upper income people who like cooking with gas. These people are very capable of weighing the health risks of natural gas stoves against their desire for natural gas cooking. Gamba and his ilk really seem like control freaks, wanting to nit pick about other peoples' behavior. But again, it is probably not this, but just a backdoor way to eliminate natural gas fuel consumption.
Here's the link to OPB's reporting on Gamba and others asking the Oregon Attorney General to investigate Northwest Natural [gas] company:
Lawmakers and activists petition Oregon AG to investigate NW Natural - OPB
(posted by Elvis Clark on December 14, 2023)
Contained within Oregon House Bill law 2021, the Oregon Public Utilities Commission can let power companies to construct backup power plants run on fossil fuels, most probably natural gas power plants; in case the state's Net Zero plan to eliminate all fossil fuel generation in favor of all renewable power plants becomes excessively costly and/or unreliable. This offramp to the state's Net Zero plan is contained within Section 9 of the House Bill law 2021.
(posted by Elvis Clark on December 8, 2023)
An Oregon Company, called NuScale, is touted as having one of the only federally approved economical modular nuclear power concepts. It is said to be economical because NuScale's nuclear power modules can be manufactured off-site and plopped onto a nuclear plant site, generating carbon free electricity. The nuclear waste would be stored on-site in fortified drums. It is said to have fail safe methods of shutting if the nuclear unit becomes unstable.
NuScale had sold its first project to a Utah municipal utility. Now this Utah utility is suing NuScale for overpromising in its offer and contract with the utility. Here is the link to Oregon Public Broadcasting's (OPB) reporting on this lawsuit:
Portland nuclear power startup NuScale hit with investor lawsuit - OPB
I myself have been skeptical about nuclear power replacing existing power generating systems. America doesn't seem to mind some of its warships being powered by nuclear modular units; but when it comes to civil nuclear power, the political history of nuclear power (recalling the movie the "China Syndrome" dramatizing the near melt down of the Three Mile Island power plant in Pennsylvania) should make us skeptical of claims that there will be a rebirth of nuclear power in the U.S - even with the latest nuclear technologies (such as that of NuScale).
(posted by Elvis Clark on November 24, 2023)
Norway government statisticians say in their published paper that it is highly uncertain as to the extent that perceived global warming is due to man's CO2 emissions. In the pdf download read below "IsItCO2orWarming23NovWSJ," the Wall Street Journal reports on this Norway government research paper.
There are three major problems with the Climate consensus science, as I see it.
(1) Correlation is not proof of causation.
(2) It is nearly impossible to measure the temperature of the entire earth.
(3) Government Climate programs are so costly that it really begs the question as to whether they have actual net benefit.
(posted by Elvis Clark on November 11, 2023)
IsItCO2orWarming23NovWSJ (pdf)
DownloadTwo thirds of readers surveyed by Pamplin Newspaper say they are sticking with gasoline cars.
The cost of an all-electric vehicle (EV) seems to be $10,000 or so more than a similar quality conventional gasoline powered car. Pamplin Newspaper's Jim Redden reports that EVs might be as little as $5,000 more expensive, but I suspect that this assessment is not eliminating all of the expensive luxury gasoline powered cars in its comparisons with more basic EVs.
(posted by Elvis Clark on October 13, 2023)
70% of Pamplin newspaper readers say get rid of Electric Vehicle subsidies.
The federal government is currently expanding its $7,500 tax credit to many EVs not originally authorized by Congress. Oregon is expected to revive its up-to-$5,000 rebate for EVs that lapsed earlier this year. And hundreds of millions of dollars in public funding is being spent to create far more public charging stations.
Pamplin Newspaper's Jim Redden reports:
"Studies show the vast majority of EV owners recharge overnight at home in their garages or driveways. Relying on public charging stations is currently a fraught proposition. Even if some are relatively close, they are not always reliable — which is an even greater problem on long trips. "
The states of Oregon and California are mandating the elimination of new gasoline car sales in their states by the year 2035.
But over 80% of Pamplin newspaper readers oppose banning sales of gasoline powered vehicles.
And I have to say these readers are right to be wary about forcing all-electric vehicles on future drivers. We have already witnessed electric power outages in California, because of an unreliable electricity supply - made so by renewable energy mandates. Gasoline powered vehicles give you energy diversity and reliability. Hybrid vehicles, such as the Toyota Prius, give you both high mileage per gallon and the reliability of an independent fuel source (gasoline).
The above chart compares the subsidies (not including state and local subsidies) the federal government pays energy suppliers by the type and amount of energy they supply. The bar chart above is created from U.S Energy Information Administration data.
The bar chart shows that wind energy receives 17 times more federal subsidization than fossil fuels and solar receives 69 times more federal subsidization than fossil fuels.
Biomass includes ethanol produced for mixing into gasoline. Hydroelectricity is probably low in subsidies because most of the dams have been built decades and decades ago now and so the subsidies have almost been entirely amortized.
The bottom line then is that the electric customer and general public do not have the foggiest idea about the large extra costs of going green with solar and wind. Politicians are able to work a sleight of hand by collectively forcing taxpayers (both federal, state and local) to pay much of the excessive costs of renewable energy. It's like people are blind to the politicians taxing them to hide the true extra cost of renewable energy from their utility bills.
(posted by Elvis Clark on October 6, 2023)
The Wall Street Journal article just below ("BadPolEnergy23Aug" in pdf format) reveals that back in 1978 then Senators Biden and Gore both pushed a federal mandate that forced electric utilities to use more coal. Politicians continue to muck around with mandates, not allowing free markets to best determine the best way forward for the people.
(posted by Elvis Clark on August 8, 2023)
BadPolEnergy23Aug (pdf)
DownloadThe State of Washington through a private developer (and eventually a public electric utility) is wanting to construct and operate a new pumped hydroelectric storage reservoir near Goldendale on a ridge up from the Columbia River. Water from the Columbia River would be pumped up to this reservoir and stored until needed (for instance when wind and solar are not generating much power at a time of high electricity demand in Winter or Summer) - the water would be released from the reservoir and fall through pipes and turbines - returning to the Columbia River and generating up to 1,200 Megawatts of electric power (1.2 billion watts).
It could meet the electricity demand of a City the size of Seattle for up to 12 hours.
I calculate the capital cost for this electricity storage facility would be over $2,000 per thousand watts (KW). By comparison, utility electric battery storage is said to cost about $600 per KW (Energy Information Administration). But the hydro-electric pump storage project can last for upwards of 60 years or more, whereas utility battery storage might not last more than ten years. So, hydro-electric storage could be a lot cheaper than battery storage considering the longer life of hydro-electric storage.
A big challenge for this planned hydro-electric reservoir at Goldendale is that it is within the hunting and fishing and burial grounds of the Yakima Indian Tribe. The Yakima Tribe is objecting to the project.
Here is the link to KGW's reporting on this electricity project:
Tribes oppose renewable energy project in Columbia River Gorge | kgw.com
(posted by Elvis Clark on July 29, 2023)
In a unanimous ruling, a panel of judges for the Ninth Circuit Court of Federal Appeals strikes down city and state bans against utility natural gas service. The 1975 federal law called the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) made the federal government largely responsible for regulating natural gas appliances (gas stoves) and equipment (natural gas furnaces) - thereby making the federal government sole regulator for natural gas utility service access.
If you recall former Milwaukie Mayor, Mark Gamba, forced a City Resolution that if carried out would ban natural gas utility service connections for new construction in the City of Milwaukie. Gamba also wanted to ban, by the year 2035, existing natural gas use by homes and apartments. And this is still a goal of the current City of Milwaukie Council and staff, if not for this most recent 9th Circuit Court ruling.
Eugene actually passed a ban on natural gas service for newly constructed buildings in its city. Supposedly, this ban could be voted on by Eugene voters sometime later this year, as a City Referendum Petition collected enough signatures to qualify putting the Eugene natural gas ban law before voters - for their approval or rejection.
The Ninth Circuit Court ruling against natural gas bans just came down this last Monday, April 17, 2023. The Ninth Circuit Court case pitted the California Restaurant Association against the City of Berkley California, which had passed a law banning new natural gas connections. California restaurants sued because they wanted to preserve the ability to cook with natural gas stoves.
The Ninth Circuit Court ruling against city natural gas bans should prevent Milwaukie from banning people's freedom to choose between electricity and natural gas heating and cooking. Amen. Sometimes, even liberal courts like the 9th Circuit, throw freedom lovers a bone or two.
Here are my main notes for the 9th Circuit Court ruling striking down City natural gas bans:
The [9th Circuit Court] panel held that the Energy Policy and Conservation Act preempts the Berkeley ordinance. The panel wrote that, in this express preemption case, it addressed the plain meaning of the Act without any presumptive thumb on the scale for or against preemption. The Act expressly preempts State and local regulations concerning the energy use of many natural gas appliances, including those used in household and restaurant kitchens.
UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
CALIFORNIA RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION, a California nonprofit mutual benefit corporation, Plaintiff-Appellant, v. CITY OF BERKELEY, Defendant-Appellee. No. 21-16278 D.C. No. 4:19-cv-07668- YGR
OPINION Appeal from the United States District Court for the Northern District of California Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, District Judge, Presiding Argued and Submitted May 12, 2022 San Francisco, California
Filed April 17, 2023
Before: Diarmuid F. O’Scannlain and Patrick J. Bumatay, Circuit Judges, and M. Miller Baker,* Judge.
“The Energy Policy and Conservation Act (“EPCA”)
And by preventing such appliances from using natural gas, the new Berkeley building code does exactly that. We thus conclude that EPCA preempts Berkeley’s building code’s effect against covered products and reverse.”
Here's the link to this amazing ruling against City natural gas bans:
https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2023/04/17/21-16278.pdf
(posted by Elvis Clark on April 20, 2023)
Occidental Petroleum is planning to burn energy to capture carbon out of the air so it can continue to produce petroleum oil energy. This expensive foray into carbon capture by Occidental is being heavily subsidized by Biden's euphemistically (misleading labelled) "Inflation Reduction Act." This so-called Biden federal government spending program will cost the American public some $1.2 trillion over the next ten years or so.
Common sense would lead one to ask if you have to build like nuclear plants to operate a system to take carbon out of the air - carbon arising from the burning of fossil fuels like the oil that an Occidental produces; why wouldn't you just build the nuclear plants to displace the fossil fuels in the first place.
For the Wall Street Journal article about Occidental Petroleum's carbon capture venture, download and read the pdf just below called "OxyNonSense23Apr."
This example of so-called "Progressive" government policy makes me think that "progressive" means doing things more than once to achieve the same economic result. Hence, "progressive" actually equates to "regressive."
(posted by Elvis Clark on April 16, 2023)
OxyNonSense23Apr (pdf)
DownloadThe New York Post reports that Greta Thunberg (photo above) had tweeted in the year 2018 that something seriously awful is going to happen by the year 2023 unless the world gives up fossil fuels. Seems Greta deleted this tweet excepting that Forbes magazine had retained her tweet.
So, far this year's weather is not especially hot and dry. In fact, California is buried in snow in its hinterlands. So much for Alarmist claims...if only the public at large had a memory longer than a nano-second.
A survey conducted by Rassmussen pollster reports that something like 60% of Americans believe Climate Change is really a religion rather than fact of science.
I hear even 45% of Democrats believe Climate Change is a religion more than fact.
Here's the link to this Rasmussen Survey:
.
(posted by Elvis Clark on March 17, 2023)
Even the liberal newspaper the Oregonian comes out against Eugene's ban on new Natural gas utility connections for new buildings.
According to the Oregonian, double the number of petition signatures necessary to put Eugene City Council's unilateral ban against new natural gas service connections on an election ballot has been submitted to Eugene's Elections office - such that Eugene Council's unilateral action against natural gas service could now end up being voted down by Eugene voters.
Here's the link to the Oregonian newspaper's reporting on Eugene's natural gas utility service ban: